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User Profile: FollowClick to Follow awealthofcsBen Carlson@awealthofcsTrying to bring some common sense to the world of finance. Book: http://amzn.to/1FmQOXf Podcast: http://awealthofcommonsense.com/podcast/Grand Rapids, MIawealthofcommonsense.comJoined December 2009697 Following213.8K Followers
Pinned Tweet Pinned Tweet Pinned Tweet Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Nov 30, 2020MY NEW BOOK IS OUT NOW Everything You Need to Know About Saving For Retirement It s meant to act as a guide for ppl who need help getting their finances in order or need to kickstart their retirement savingsamazon.comEverything You Need To Know About Saving For RetirementEverything You Need To Know About Saving For Retirement13185882 Show this thread Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ritholtz Wealth@RitholtzWealth Aug 7The Michael Scott Economy "The bond market is confused. The stock market is confused. The consumer is confused. I m confused. The only people who aren t confused either don t understand what s going on or aren t paying attention." https://buff.ly/3vI6Yzd by @awealthofcs1946 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 7The Michael Scott Economyawealthofcommonsense.comThe Michael Scott EconomyThe snip-snap economy.5446 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 63 Saturday Morning Thoughts: 1. Banks are the worst 2. Buy what you know is harder than it sounds 3. You can learn more from financial disasters than successesawealthofcommonsense.comBanks, Buy What You Know & Financial DisastersSome thoughts on savings account yields, Peter Lynch and making financial mistakes.8470 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Downtown Josh Brown@Downtown Aug 537 days til @FutureProofAC 4 hotels booking up 100+ sponsors 2,000+ attendees Legendary gathering of all the tribes: Fintechs, financial planners, asset managers, brokerages, funds, financial media, investing influencers, next gen advisors https://futureproof.advisorcircle.com282891 Show this thread Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Aug 5Reasons for the bottom/Reasons this isn't a bottom Go watch the latest episode of Animal Spirits with @michaelbatnick and @awealthofcs on our Youtube channel https://youtube.com/watch?v=j8Qu0ezdvqc&t=1318s 1:032.6K views716 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 5The stock market has predicted 1 of the last 0 recessions1620260 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 5With higher mortgage rates are housing prices a bubble just waiting to pop? https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/08/is-housing-a-bubble-waiting-to-pop/ 9231 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 4Every bear market: I know exactly why this is happening Every rally coming off a bear market: I have no idea why this is happening1423304 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Aug 3Episode 268 is up on our YT channel! Go watch @michaelbatnick and @awealthofcs discuss the recession debate, why the economy is so confusing right now, calling a stock market bottom (or not), the tech stock comeback, earnings season and much more!!! https://youtube.com/watch?v=j8Qu0ezdvqc&t=2390s 1427 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 3Animal Spirits: Invest in What You Know Did stocks just bottom? It's OK to be confused right now Banks are the worst One of the few benefits of inflation Why do they keep doing dream sequences in movies/TV shows? AAPL is its own economy & more https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/08/animal-spirits-invest-in-what-you-know/ 556 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ritholtz Wealth@RitholtzWealth Aug 2The Price of Admission "The price of admission to the stock market is bone-crushing volatility, a lumpy return stream along with the anguish that is brought about when you witness a chunk of your life savings evaporate before your eyes." https://buff.ly/3QhiQjw by @awealthofcs1550 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 2The Price of Admissionawealthofcommonsense.comThe Price of AdmissionA closer look at the wild price swings in the stock market this year.7557 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 2Median mortgage pmt w/rates at 6.3% in mid-June: $2,060 Median mortgage pmt now w/rates down to 5%: $1,785 The housing market:GIFread image descriptionALT615120 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Aug 1Check out @awealthofcs and @duncanhillphoto discussing lump-sum investing on the latest Portfolio Rescue https://youtube.com/watch?v=KHWYU_oJlzw&t=14s Submit your questions to askthecompoundshow@gmail.com for a chance to be featured! 1:423.2K views513 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Aug 1"Stocks are the best inflation hedge" - @michaelbatnick Go watch the latest episode of Animal Spirits down below https://youtube.com/watch?v=l03IX6op2Ec&t=373s 1:524.4K views1522 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 31"Time is the most valuable asset." - @awealthofcsawealthofcommonsense.comScarcity is an Ally of AppreciationYour most important asset.737 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 1Inflation rate: 9.1% Fed funds rate: 2.5% Money market rates some bank sent me today:3816307 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Aug 1Scarcity is an Ally of Appreciationawealthofcommonsense.comScarcity is an Ally of AppreciationYour most important asset.2635 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 31S&P 500 monthly returns this year: Jan -5.2% Feb -3.0% Mar +3.7% Apr -8.7% May +0.2% June -8.3% July +9.2% Last year there was only one month w/a move of +/-5% or more (and it was a gain) This year it's happened 4x already Good times1946377 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 30As of mid-June these were the stock market drawdowns: S&P 500 -23% R2000 -32% Nasdaq 100 -33% These are the gains ever since: S&P 500 +13% R2000 +14% Nasdaq 100 +16% Was that the bottom?awealthofcommonsense.comWas That the Bottom?Did the stock market already bottom?2324155 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 29Who knew the White House was making blog posts?? @michaelbatnick @awealthofcs Check out the latest Animal Spirits over on our YT channel and on all podcast platforms! https://youtube.com/watch?v=l03IX6op2Ec&t=373s 2:123.4K views5723 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 29Apple is now less than 11% off its all-time highs It was down nearly 29% at the worst point of this sell-off The stock market hitting new highs next year right as we go into a recession would be a fitting way to explain the weirdest economy of our lifetimes1743321 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ritholtz Wealth@RitholtzWealth Jul 29The Best & Worst Years in Stock Market History "Investing would be easier if markets followed a set pattern but that s not how things work. Humans are unpredictable so the stock market is as well." https://buff.ly/3BlXVb2 by @awealthofcs1524 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 28When is it a good strategy to use Roth for these types of goals? (home expenses, college funds, etc) Check out @billsweet, @awealthofcs, and @duncanhillphoto on the latest Portfolio Rescue https://youtube.com/watch?v=KHWYU_oJlzw&t=10s 1:374.2K views620 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 28"Rebalancing is a form of risk management." - @awealthofcsawealthofcommonsense.comThe Best & Worst Years in Stock Market HistoryThe importance of rebalancing your portfolio.2228 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 28The Best & Worst Years in Stock Market History https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/07/the-best-worst-years-in-stock-market-history/ 11960 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 28Welcome to the confirmation bias economy Want to see a recession? Just look at GDP, rates, inflation, retail & consumer sentiment Don't want to see a recession? Just look at the labor market, personal income & travel/services472041,161 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 27What if Facebook isn t a macro tell at all but a business that s in secular decline? (coming from someone who doesn t use Facebook or IG so take it for what it s worth)6412312 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 27Today is by far the most important day of the year for the markets. Everything hangs in the balance* *until the next 97 most important days that are yet to come912189 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 27Animal Spirits: Redefining a Recession You can't blame the govt for all your financial problems Inflation is the next Big Short Boring stocks are carrying the S&P 500 Is everyone too bearish on Netflix? Good movies vs entertaining movies & more https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/07/animal-spirits-redefining-a-recession/ 9129 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 26Stocks crash The headlines are bad Companies keep lowering guidance (and expectations) Companies beat lower expectations Eventually the news gets less bad This is how stocks bottom *I am not calling a bottom but reserve the right to change my mind1218266 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 26"In a little more than two years, U.S. homeowners have experienced higher gains than we ve seen in 7 out of the last 9 decades." - @awealthofcsawealthofcommonsense.comReal Estate vs. Stocks vs. Bonds vs. InflationWhy real estate is the best hedge against inflation.2635 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 26When inflation is rising: Stocks & bonds have seen below avg returns while housing has seen above avg performance When inflation is falling: Stocks & bonds have seen above avg returns while housing has seen below avg performance5647 Show this thread Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 26Real Estate vs. Stocks vs. Bonds vs. Inflation https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2022/07/real-estate-vs-stocks-vs-bonds-vs-inflation/ 1029126 Show this thread Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 26It s only a recession if it s from the NBER province of France Otherwise it s just sparkling inflation1745478 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted The Compound@TheCompoundNews Jul 24"Headlines are also a giant distraction to the business of investing." - @awealthofcsawealthofcommonsense.comA Giant Distraction to the Business of Investing3 things I'm thinking about with the current state of the stock market.3538 Ben Carlson@awealthofcs Jul 24Drawdowns for the top 10 S&P 500 stocks as of Sept 2021: AAPL -15.3% MSFT -24.1% GOOG -28.1% AMZN -34.4% META -55.7% TSLA -33.6% BRK -20.6% NVDA -48.1% V -14.8% JPM -33.2% Avg loss of -30.1% vs -17.4% for the S&P Hard to believe the mkt isn't down moreawealthofcommonsense.comA Giant Distraction to the Business of Investing3 things I'm thinking about with the current state of the stock market.1014121 Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Ben Carlson Retweeted Conor Sen@conorsen Jul 23This is a trend I think is going to be a thing for well-off Millennials in their 40 s. A shift away from some of the cautious attitudes towards money people had in the 2010 s:6074567 Show this thread