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User Profile: Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Macro Trader; tweeting on rates, FX, equities, commods, life's rich pageant...in roughly that order. Not looking to set the world to rights in 140 characters Joined May 2010

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 5 More Twitter AI putting in the work: pic.twitter.com/9zZ8McktDd 0 replies 1 retweet 10 likes Reply Retweet 1 Retweeted 1 Like 10 Liked 10

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 3 More Shocked to discover that Docusign, the your-signature-here market leaders, was recently a $60bn company. 0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 5 Liked 5

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 3 More Five Minute Macro Retweeted Five Minute Macro With 1) and 2) looking far from definitive, I move aggressively overweight agnosticism. https://twitter.com/5_min_macro/status/1466020132761788419 Five Minute Macro added, Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Three things could all conceivably be true simultaneously: 1) Omicron cases are generally mild, 2) current vaccines remain broadly effective, and 3) the Omicron wave is the straw that tips wobbling health care systems into chaos. I prefer to stay agnostic. 0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 3 Liked 3

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 1 More Yeah, yeah; Canute was actually demonstrating the opposite - don't be that guy. 1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes Reply 1 Retweet Retweeted Like 5 Liked 5 Show this thread Show this thread

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 1 More I don't get Erdogan's game plan wrt interest rates. He doesn't strike me as an Mbeki-type Do Your Own Research guy who fell down an internet rabbit hole. Does he fancy himself Canute holding back the forces of global capital? Surely he has to see the edifice trembling? 9 replies 0 retweets 4 likes Reply 9 Retweet Retweeted Like 4 Liked 4 Show this thread Show this thread

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Dec 1 More Three things could all conceivably be true simultaneously: 1) Omicron cases are generally mild, 2) current vaccines remain broadly effective, and 3) the Omicron wave is the straw that tips wobbling health care systems into chaos. I prefer to stay agnostic. 2 replies 0 retweets 22 likes Reply 2 Retweet Retweeted Like 22 Liked 22

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 30 More Transitory proves transitory. 1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes Reply 1 Retweet 1 Retweeted 1 Like 14 Liked 14

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 30 More Five Minute Macro Retweeted Tom Graff Powell repudiates his namesake Jay Gatsby's doomed mantra: 'Can't repeat the past? Why, of course you can!' https://twitter.com/tdgraff/status/1465710925441163276 Five Minute Macro added, Tom Graff @tdgraff Everyone is understandably keying on the "time to retire transitory" bit, but similarly important is Powell's capitulation on jobs: "It's going to take longer to get LFP back. We're not going back to the same economy." Rate hikes are no longer conditional on jobs. 0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 5 Liked 5

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 29 More All the Omnicron news seems like typical fog of war stuff. I don't expect us armchair epidemiologists are going to crack the case, so I'm just going to remain agnostic until we have a clearer picture. Heretical, I know. 4 replies 0 retweets 20 likes Reply 4 Retweet Retweeted Like 20 Liked 20

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 26 More I've never met a nice South African (variant). pic.twitter.com/oCSSkB4AUD 1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes Reply 1 Retweet Retweeted Like 4 Liked 4

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 25 More What did I miss? pic.twitter.com/T4ofS2aIbN 1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes Reply 1 Retweet 1 Retweeted 1 Like 9 Liked 9

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 24 More Two months ago, in the wake of the Rudd 'Why Do We Think That Inflation Expectations Matter for Inflation?' paper, everyone was buzzing as inflation expectations were consigned to the dustbin of history. And here we are, a mere two months later, talking about little else. Droll. 1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes Reply 1 Retweet 2 Retweeted 2 Like 7 Liked 7

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 24 More Since idiosyncratic EM policy appointments seem to be very much the order of the day, never forget that this guy was once South Africa's Finance Minister for four days. pic.twitter.com/4eXoyBjJgL 0 replies 0 retweets 1 like Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 1 Liked 1

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More This story, via @matt_levine , is an absolute gem: https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/11/22/rent-a-hitman-website/ 1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes Reply 1 Retweet 1 Retweeted 1 Like 12 Liked 12

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More 'ConstitutionDAO tried to buy the Constitution. Now it has a $40 million mess on its hands and entire refunds are being wiped out by high fees.' https://www.vice.com/en/article/qjb8av/constitutiondao-aftermath-everyone-very-mad-confused-losing-lots-of-money-fighting-crying-etc pic.twitter.com/ch8VKNSe8d 0 replies 0 retweets 1 like Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 1 Liked 1

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More If a wage - price spiral was to emerge, rates would have to nose up towards double digits. Not sure what value people think they are adding by arguing for easier policy on the basis that a wage - price spiral is vanishingly unlikely - at a time when rates are at zero. 1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes Reply 1 Retweet 1 Retweeted 1 Like 7 Liked 7

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More Feels like Turkey's Des van Rooyen moment. 0 replies 0 retweets 1 like Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 1 Liked 1

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More Thanksgiving global markets Turkey getting slaughtered. 1 reply 21 retweets 84 likes Reply 1 Retweet 21 Retweeted 21 Like 84 Liked 84

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 23 More Everything looks transitory when plotted on a log-log scale with a thick magic marker - Mar's Law, inflation edition. 0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 4 Liked 4

Five Minute Macro @5_min_macro Nov 22 More Setting Boris's porcine ramblings aside, the Peppa Pig origin story is actually pretty interesting. https://www.ft.com/content/b7bcd9b6-9ab1-11df-87e6-00144feab49a 0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes Reply Retweet Retweeted Like 3 Liked 3

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